Model Predictions
| Model | Towson Tigers | UNC Wilmington Seahawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.1% | 30.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.2% | 28.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 73.1% | 26.9% | -5.5 | ✓ (0.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 68.8% | 31.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.0% | 19.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.2% | 18.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNC Wilmington Seahawks -5 (74-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Towson Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerrelle Benimon * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 35 | - |
| Marcus Damas * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 20 | - |
| Mike Burwell * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Bilal Dixon * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 22 | - |
| Jerome Hairston * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Rafriel Guthrie | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Kris Walden | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Timajh Parker-Rivera | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
UNC Wilmington Seahawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keith Rendleman * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 21 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 41 | - |
| Craig Ponder * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 30 | - |
| Chris Dixon * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Tanner Milson * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Matt Wilson * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Cedrick Williams | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Freddie Jackson | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Tyree Graham | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 18 | - |
| Luke Hager | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Dylan Sherwood | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Nate Anderson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter