Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri State Bears | Evansville Purple Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 62.2% | 37.8% | -2.7 | ✗ (5.7 off) |
| Efficiency | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Evansville Purple Aces +3 (62-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Downing * | 43 | 6-17 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Marcus Marshall * | 37 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Dorrian Williams * | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Drew Wilson * | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Christian Kirk * | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Keith Pickens | 33 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Nathan Scheer | 30 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Gavin Thurman | 30 | 2-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Tomie Aromona | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Bruce Marshall | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy Taylor * | 42 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 22 | - |
| Ned Cox * | 40 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Lewis Jones * | 36 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Colt Ryan * | 36 | 5-18 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | -1 | - |
| Egidijus Mockevicius * | 32 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 18 | 25 | - |
| D.J. Balentine | 14 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Jordan Nelson | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jordan Jahr | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Ryan Sawvell | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jaylon Moore | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter