Model Predictions
| Model | Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.2% | 87.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.2% | 88.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.4% | 97.6% | +20.3 | ✓ (5.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 15.2% | 84.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +15 (72-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephon Carter * | 36 | 9-17 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 14 | - |
| Javonte Maynor * | 35 | 1-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Corey Hall * | 34 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Tyrone White * | 25 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -1 | - |
| Adam Young * | 13 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Brandon Barnes | 32 | 3-13 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -1 | - |
| Britton Williams | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Justin Omogun | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Kregg Jones | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Erik Kinney | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Franklin * | 27 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 9-9 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 21 | - |
| C. Tapley * | 27 | 6-12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| J.J. O'Brien * | 26 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| D. Stephens * | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| X. Thames * | 14 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| J. Rahon | 23 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| W. Shepard | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 7-11 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 12 | - |
| D. Polee II | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| S. Spencer | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| J. Johnson | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| N. Ebrahimian | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter