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2012-12-31

Model Predictions

Model Kansas City Roos Omaha Mavericks Spread Result
Elo 25.4% 74.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 34.6% 65.4% - โœ“
Margin 42.3% 57.7% +1.7 โœ“ (10.3 off)
Pythagorean 41.3% 58.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 49.2% 50.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 49.0% 51.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 46.4% 53.6% - โœ“

Actual: Omaha Mavericks +12 (77-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kansas City Roos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Estan Tyler * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 1 0 3 12 15 -
Thomas Staton * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 2 1 3 23 31 -
Kirk Korver * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 2 2 5 8 -
Fred Chatmon * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 2 0 1 7 16 -
Nate Rogers * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 2 0 5 4 5 -
Nelson Kirksey 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 2 10 13 -
Brad Reid 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 0 2 7 -
Alton Tanner 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 0 3 -
Mason Wedel 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 4 -
John Burke 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

Omaha Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C.J. Carter * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 4 0 0 3 26 31 -
John Karhoff * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 2 3 8 10 -
Justin Simmons * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 3 1 3 20 26 -
Alex Welhouse * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 0 1 0 0 10 21 -
Alex Phillips * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 2 0 1 9 11 -
Caleb Steffensmeier 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 0 4 -
Matt Hagerbaumer 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 1 0 5 -
Marcus Tyus 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 0 3 3 6 -
Jacques Coleman 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 2 0 1 0 2 -
Simon Krych 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 -
Tyler Egli 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter