Model Predictions
| Model | Stetson Hatters | Mercer Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.2% | 84.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.0% | 77.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.0% | 87.0% | +10.5 | ✓ (4.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.8% | 85.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.8% | 85.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mercer Bears +6 (70-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Stetson Hatters
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Naburgs | 34 | 5-7 | 4-6 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 19 | - |
| Adam Pegg | 32 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Willie Green | 29 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Hunter Miller | 28 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Chris Perez | 27 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 3 | - |
| Aaron Graham | 26 | 5-12 | 4-9 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Liam McInerney | 15 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Dennis Diaz | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Leke Solanke | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Mercer Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Langston Hall | 36 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Jake Gollon | 35 | 5-15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Bud Thomas | 33 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | - |
| Travis Smith | 33 | 7-15 | 5-9 | 6-7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 13 | - |
| Daniel Coursey | 19 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Monty Brown | 17 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Kevin Canevari | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| T.J. Hallice | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Chris Smith | 7 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Jibri Bryan | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Anthony White | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter