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Gonzaga Bulldogs 69
@
Oklahoma State Cowboys 68
2012-12-31

Model Predictions

Model Gonzaga Bulldogs Oklahoma State Cowboys Spread Result
Elo 70.7% 29.3% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 69.4% 30.6% - ✓
Margin 77.0% 23.0% -6.6 ✓ (5.6 off)
Pythagorean 52.5% 47.5% - ✓
Efficiency 79.9% 20.1% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 69.5% 30.5% - ✓
Log Adjusted 69.6% 30.4% - ✓

Actual: Oklahoma State Cowboys -1 (68-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Pangos * 39 7-12 4-7 5-6 4 5 2 0 1 23 21 -
E. Harris * 33 2-9 0-2 3-4 5 1 1 0 3 7 2 -
G. Bell Jr. * 28 3-11 2-6 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 8 -1 -
M. Hart * 28 1-2 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 1 2 2 5 -
K. Olynyk * 23 7-12 0-1 7-8 9 1 0 0 2 21 17 -
S. Dower 17 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 4 2 -
D. Stockton 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 2 0 1 0 7 -
G. Edi 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
P. Karnowski 7 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
K. Dranginis 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 0 -3 -

Oklahoma State Cowboys

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Brown * 37 6-12 1-5 3-3 1 2 1 3 0 16 11 -
M. Smart * 36 9-15 2-6 3-6 4 6 1 0 4 23 15 -
P. Forte III * 28 5-8 5-8 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 15 8 -
P. Jurick * 24 1-1 0-0 0-1 7 1 0 1 1 2 9 -
K. Murphy * 15 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
L. Nash 33 4-13 1-3 0-0 4 1 1 0 2 9 0 -
M. Cobbins 17 1-1 0-0 1-1 1 0 2 2 1 3 6 -
K. Gardner 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter