Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Minnesota Golden Gophers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 88.8% | 11.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 75.3% | 24.7% | -6.1 | ✗ (19.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 70.5% | 29.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.6% | 37.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Minnesota Golden Gophers +13 (76-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Harris * | 34 | 5-9 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Keith Appling * | 34 | 7-16 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Derrick Nix * | 30 | 5-15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Branden Dawson * | 28 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Denzel Valentine * | 22 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Adreian Payne | 24 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Travis Trice | 24 | 3-8 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Alex Gauna | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Russell Byrd | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Minnesota Golden Gophers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodney Williams * | 33 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 11 | - |
| A. Hollins * | 32 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| A. Hollins * | 31 | 7-10 | 1-1 | 7-7 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 19 | - |
| Joe Coleman * | 31 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Trevor Mbakwe * | 28 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Julian Welch | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Elliott Eliason | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Oto Osenieks | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Maverick Ahanmisi | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Andre Ingram | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Maurice Walker | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter