Model Predictions
| Model | Yale Bulldogs | Saint Mary's Gaels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.8% | 96.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 8.3% | 91.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.6% | 97.4% | +20.0 | ✓ (4.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 26.1% | 73.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 15.0% | 85.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Mary's Gaels +16 (78-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Yale Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Morgan * | 31 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Michael Grace * | 27 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Justin Sears * | 21 | 4-14 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Jeremiah Kreisberg * | 20 | 3-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | -3 | - |
| Armani Cotton * | 15 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Nick Victor | 20 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Greg Kelley | 18 | 4-6 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Matt Townsend | 18 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Javier Duren | 17 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Sam Martin | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Will Childs-Klein | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jack Montague | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Dellavedova * | 32 | 9-13 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 21 | - |
| Jorden Page * | 26 | 5-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| James Walker * | 25 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Brad Waldow * | 24 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Mitchell Young * | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Stephen Holt | 26 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Beau Levesque | 22 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 2-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Matt Hodgson | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Jordan Giusti | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kyle Rowley | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Eividas Petrulis | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Zach Sanchez | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter