Model Predictions
| Model | Furman Paladins | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.1% | 92.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.3% | 87.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.9% | 97.1% | +19.3 | ✓ (0.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 12.7% | 87.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 16.1% | 83.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs +19 (72-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Furman Paladins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Austin | 30 | 3-11 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| S. Croone | 30 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | - |
| B. Irwin | 30 | 5-12 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 7 | - |
| K. Ferrara | 26 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - |
| C. Reddick | 26 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| L. Wideman | 25 | 2-12 | 2-11 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -3 | - |
| K. Belfield | 21 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| K. Chuisseu | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Brown | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Williams | 38 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 5-8 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Jalen Jones | 34 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Ryan Manuel | 31 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Cannen Cunningham | 30 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Nick Russell | 29 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Brian Bernardi | 23 | 5-8 | 4-7 | 6-6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Uche Ofoegbu | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kevin Dunleavy | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Garrett Wilson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jordan Dickerson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter