Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Indiana State Sycamores | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.3% | 69.7% | +4.6 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana State Sycamores +2 (77-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jon Ekey * | 31 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 6-8 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Bryant Allen * | 31 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Tyler Brown * | 30 | 3-12 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Johnny Hill * | 28 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Jackie Carmichael * | 26 | 4-15 | 0-1 | 5-8 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Nick Zeisloft | 18 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Kaza Keane | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Zeke Upshaw | 9 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| John Wilkins | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jordan Threloff | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Odum * | 32 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 7-8 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 22 | - |
| Manny Arop * | 26 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Justin Gant * | 26 | 8-13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 16 | - |
| R.J. Mahurin * | 21 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Dawon Cummings * | 20 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3 | - |
| Devonte Brown | 23 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6-12 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Lucas Eitel | 19 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Khristian Smith | 19 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jake Kitchell | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Brandon Burnett | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter