Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | Bowling Green Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 89.8% | 10.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 80.8% | 19.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 87.6% | 12.4% | -10.7 | ✗ (35.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 90.0% | 10.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 90.2% | 9.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 71.2% | 28.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Bowling Green Falcons +25 (65-40). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Hudson | 0 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| C. Sant | 0 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| A. Deane | 0 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 4 | - |
| S. MacKay | 0 | 4-11 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 1 | - |
| A. Hoover | 0 | 0-7 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -3 | - |
Bowling Green Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Pattman | 0 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| J. Halfhill | 0 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 18 | - |
| A. Rogers | 0 | 4-15 | 1-2 | 11-13 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 20 | - |
| D. Havel | 0 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | - |
| C. Steffen | 0 | 6-12 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 15 | - |
* = starter