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2012-12-30

Model Predictions

Model Dayton Flyers USC Trojans Spread Result
Elo 27.1% 72.9% -
Bradley-Terry 39.5% 60.5% -
Margin 47.6% 52.4% +0.5 (1.5 off)
Pythagorean 61.4% 38.6% -
Efficiency 74.3% 25.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 70.1% 29.9% -
Log Adjusted 68.9% 31.1% -

Actual: USC Trojans +2 (63-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dayton Flyers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Dillard * 37 1-10 0-5 11-12 2 4 3 0 4 13 8 -
D. Oliver * 34 5-10 1-2 0-0 12 0 3 0 2 11 14 -
J. Benson * 32 5-9 0-0 1-4 2 2 4 2 2 11 10 -
D. Pierre * 30 3-6 1-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 7 3 -
V. Sanford * 25 3-11 0-3 3-4 6 1 1 1 3 9 4 -
K. Price 25 0-3 0-1 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
J. Robinson 23 1-3 0-0 2-5 5 0 1 2 2 4 7 -
M. Derenbecker 10 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
A. Gavrilovic 6 1-1 0-0 2-2 1 1 1 0 1 4 5 -
D. Scott 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

USC Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Fontan * 43 2-9 0-3 2-4 1 6 2 0 5 6 1 -
A. Fuller * 35 4-9 0-0 4-4 10 0 1 0 2 12 12 -
B. Wesley * 34 3-9 0-1 1-3 7 2 1 0 2 7 6 -
E. Wise * 30 6-10 3-4 4-4 3 1 0 0 2 19 11 -
D. Dedmon * 29 3-5 0-0 4-5 5 0 1 5 1 10 15 -
J.T. Terrell 29 0-9 0-2 0-2 1 0 2 0 1 0 -7 -
O. Oraby 12 3-5 0-0 3-3 8 1 0 2 2 9 13 -
J. Blasczyk 12 0-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
C. Bryan 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter