Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | USC Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.6% | 52.4% | +0.5 | ✓ (1.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 74.3% | 25.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.1% | 29.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.9% | 31.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: USC Trojans +2 (63-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Dillard * | 37 | 1-10 | 0-5 | 11-12 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 8 | - |
| D. Oliver * | 34 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 14 | - |
| J. Benson * | 32 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| D. Pierre * | 30 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| V. Sanford * | 25 | 3-11 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 4 | - |
| K. Price | 25 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Robinson | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| M. Derenbecker | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Gavrilovic | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| D. Scott | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
USC Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Fontan * | 43 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 1 | - |
| A. Fuller * | 35 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 12 | - |
| B. Wesley * | 34 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| E. Wise * | 30 | 6-10 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 11 | - |
| D. Dedmon * | 29 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 15 | - |
| J.T. Terrell | 29 | 0-9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -7 | - |
| O. Oraby | 12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 13 | - |
| J. Blasczyk | 12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Bryan | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter