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2012-12-29

Model Predictions

Model Pennsylvania Quakers Wagner Seahawks Spread Result
Elo 18.7% 81.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 17.2% 82.8% - โœ“
Margin 21.7% 78.3% +7.1 โœ“ (2.1 off)
Pythagorean 29.4% 70.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 23.4% 76.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 23.6% 76.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 34.4% 65.6% - โœ“

Actual: Wagner Seahawks +5 (68-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Pennsylvania Quakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Henry Brooks * 43 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 3 0 2 12 20 -
Miles Jackson-Cartwright * 42 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 4 3 0 6 19 25 -
Jamal Lewis * 41 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 4 1 0 1 16 25 -
Steve Rennard * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 2 2 4 -
Greg Louis * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 2 6 -
Tony Hicks 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 5 6 -
Darien Nelson-Henry 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 4 1 7 17 -
Dau Jok 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
Cameron Gunter 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Patrick Lucas-Perry 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

Wagner Seahawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Moody * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 2 3 2 6 16 -
J. Thompson * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 1 2 4 9 -
K. Ortiz * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 6 0 0 4 23 35 -
N. Folahan * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 2 2 6 7 -
D. Anderson * 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 2 2 -
O. Parker 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 2 0 3 11 -
L. Rivers 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 3 15 16 -
M. Burton 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 2 4 -
E. Fanning 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 7 10 -
L. Burnett 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter