Model Predictions
| Model | UIC Flames | Toledo Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.0% | 63.0% | +2.9 | ✓ (16.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toledo Rockets +19 (74-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UIC Flames
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hayden Humes * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 19 | - |
| Daniel Barnes * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 25 | - |
| Gary Talton * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Marc Brown * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Josh Crittle * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Will Simonton | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Joey Miller | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Ahman Fells | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jake Wiegand | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jay Parker | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Anthony Kelley | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Gabe Snider | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Buckley * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | - |
| R. Pearson * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 39 | - |
| M. Smith * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 20 | - |
| J. Brown * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 15 | - |
| N. Boothe * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 23 | - |
| J. Lemons | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - |
| R. Holliday | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 20 | - |
| R. Wonnell | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| B. Schwiebert | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Ewing | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter