Model Predictions
| Model | Belmont Bruins | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.8% | 36.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 72.8% | 27.2% | -5.4 | ✗ (8.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.8% | 21.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.8% | 21.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UCF Knights +3 (66-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Belmont Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kerron Johnson * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 28 | - |
| Ian Clark * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 24 | - |
| Trevor Noack * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 18 | - |
| Blake Jenkins * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - |
| J.J. Mann * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - |
| Brandon Baker | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Craig Bradshaw | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jeff Laidig | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Adam Barnes | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Reece Chamberlain | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Spencer Turner | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Sykes * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 29 | - |
| Kasey Wilson * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 20 | - |
| Keith Clanton * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 26 | 37 | - |
| Tristan Spurlock * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - |
| Calvin Newell * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Daiquan Walker | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Matt Williams | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Staphon Blair | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Rod Days | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
* = starter