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2012-12-29

Model Predictions

Model UNLV Rebels North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 11.5% 88.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 17.6% 82.4% - โœ“
Margin 7.1% 92.9% +14.2 โœ“ (8.2 off)
Pythagorean 52.4% 47.6% - โœ—
Efficiency 63.3% 36.7% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 60.1% 39.9% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 58.7% 41.3% - โœ—

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +6 (79-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UNLV Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Marshall * 37 6-10 1-2 2-3 1 8 1 0 1 15 14 -
Anthony Bennett * 34 6-16 0-4 3-4 13 0 1 0 2 15 11 -
Bryce Dejean-Jones * 28 6-12 1-3 1-3 8 4 0 0 3 14 11 -
Katin Reinhardt * 26 4-9 4-5 3-5 1 1 0 1 2 15 7 -
Quintrell Thomas * 12 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 0 0 -
Justin Hawkins 22 1-2 1-2 0-1 5 1 3 1 2 3 9 -
Khem Birch 17 1-4 0-0 1-2 5 0 1 0 4 3 1 -
Mike Moser 12 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 2 -
Savon Goodman 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
Carlos Lopez-Sosa 4 1-1 0-0 1-3 0 1 0 0 0 3 3 -
Daquan Cook 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Barry Cheaney 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marcus Paige * 34 3-9 0-2 6-8 4 4 1 0 2 12 10 -
J. McAdoo * 34 5-13 0-0 3-5 9 3 0 0 3 13 9 -
Dexter Strickland * 33 5-8 0-1 6-10 3 2 1 0 1 16 13 -
P.J. Hairston * 32 5-10 2-5 3-4 4 1 4 0 0 15 14 -
Desmond Hubert * 20 1-1 0-0 1-2 3 0 1 3 1 3 8 -
Leslie McDonald 18 2-4 1-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 5 3 -
Brice Johnson 15 6-8 0-0 0-2 4 0 3 0 2 12 9 -
J.P. Tokoto 11 1-1 0-0 1-2 2 2 1 0 1 3 6 -
Joel James 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -

* = starter