Model Predictions
| Model | UNLV Rebels | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.5% | 88.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.6% | 82.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.1% | 92.9% | +14.2 | ✓ (8.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +6 (79-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Marshall * | 37 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 14 | - |
| A. Bennett * | 34 | 6-16 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 11 | - |
| B. Dejean-Jones * | 28 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 11 | - |
| K. Reinhardt * | 26 | 4-9 | 4-5 | 3-5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Q. Thomas * | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Hawkins | 22 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | - |
| K. Birch | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | - |
| M. Moser | 12 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| S. Goodman | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| C. Lopez-Sosa | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| D. Cook | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Cheaney | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Paige * | 34 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 6-8 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| J. McAdoo * | 34 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 9 | - |
| D. Strickland * | 33 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 6-10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 13 | - |
| P.J. Hairston * | 32 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 14 | - |
| D. Hubert * | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - |
| L. McDonald | 18 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| B. Johnson | 15 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| J.P. Tokoto | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| J. James | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter