Model Predictions
| Model | Santa Clara Broncos | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.4% | 89.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 8.6% | 91.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.7% | 96.3% | +18.0 | ✓ (5.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +13 (90-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Santa Clara Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Roquemore * | 38 | 6-14 | 2-7 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Marc Trasolini * | 36 | 4-12 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Kevin Foster * | 35 | 12-22 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 29 | 12 | - |
| Raymond Cowels * | 31 | 4-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Robert Garrett * | 22 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Brandon Clark | 16 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Yannick Atanga | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| John McArthur | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Niyi Harrison | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Denzel Johnson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Murphy | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Plumlee * | 39 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 10-15 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 29 | - |
| Seth Curry * | 36 | 12-18 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 15 | - |
| Quinn Cook * | 36 | 6-14 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Rasheed Sulaimon * | 29 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 2-5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Ryan Kelly * | 29 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Tyler Thornton | 19 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Josh Hairston | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| M. Plumlee | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter