Model Predictions
| Model | UMBC Retrievers | Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.7% | 89.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.2% | 85.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.2% | 85.8% | +9.9 | ✓ (6.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 16.7% | 83.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 16.7% | 83.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers +3 (58-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UMBC Retrievers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Morgan * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Brett Roseboro * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 19 | - |
| Ryan Cook * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Brian Neller * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Malik Garner * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Chase Plummer | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Joey Getz | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Adrian Satchell | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rashad Whack * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 19 | - |
| Josh Castellanos * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Julian Norfleet * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Kristijan Krajina * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 22 | - |
| Taylor Danaher * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Sam Prescott | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Shivaughn Wiggins | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Raven Barber | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Xavier Owens | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter