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2012-12-29

Model Predictions

Model Cal State Northridge Matadors Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors Spread Result
Elo 44.5% 55.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 37.6% 62.4% - โœ“
Margin 31.5% 68.5% +4.3 โœ“ (1.3 off)
Pythagorean 43.0% 57.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 37.7% 62.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 37.6% 62.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 41.8% 58.2% - โœ“

Actual: Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors +3 (74-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cal State Northridge Matadors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Josh Greene * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 3 0 1 15 20 -
Stephan Hicks * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 1 1 0 0 25 35 -
Stephen Maxwell * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 0 0 0 1 14 23 -
Allan Guei * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 5 1 0 1 3 8 -
Tre Hale-Edmerson * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 1 1 2 0 5 17 -
Landon Drew 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 0 4 0 2 -
Trevone Williams 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 1 1 2 3 -
Brandon Perry 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 1 0 2 9 -
Donovan Johnson 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 5 6 -
Morgan Tilford 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Ilya Ilyayev 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Vander Joaquim * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 3 0 3 5 12 24 -
Isaac Fotu * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 0 1 0 1 16 27 -
Christian Standhardinger * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 3 3 0 1 17 30 -
Hauns Brereton * 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 8 12 -
Jace Tavita * 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 0 -2 -
Manroop Clair 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 3 5 7 -
Brandon Jawato 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 1 1 12 16 -
Brandon Spearman 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 0 0 -
Davis Rozitis 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 3 0 2 8 -
Garrett Jefferson 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter