Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | UC Riverside Highlanders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 82.9% | 17.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 81.4% | 18.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 80.3% | 19.7% | -7.7 | ✓ (2.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 75.7% | 24.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 90.7% | 9.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 90.9% | 9.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 66.4% | 33.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Riverside Highlanders -10 (48-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Johnson * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Chris Eversley * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Dylan Royer * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | - |
| Brian Bennett * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Drake U'u * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Kyle Odister | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Reese Morgan | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 20 | - |
| Chris O'Brien | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Zach Gordon | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
UC Riverside Highlanders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Smith * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Chris Patton * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 19 | - |
| Chris Harriel * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Austin Quick * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Josh Fox * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Taylor Johns | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 12 | - |
| Dayton Boddie | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Lucas Devenny | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Steven Jones | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter