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Cal Poly Mustangs 58
@
UC Riverside Highlanders 48
2012-12-29

Model Predictions

Model Cal Poly Mustangs UC Riverside Highlanders Spread Result
Elo 31.6% 68.4% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 32.3% 67.7% - ✗
Margin 33.2% 66.8% +3.8 ✗ (13.8 off)
Pythagorean 93.4% 6.6% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 95.7% 4.3% - ✓
Log Adjusted 95.8% 4.2% - ✓

Actual: UC Riverside Highlanders -10 (48-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cal Poly Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Johnson * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 0 1 2 6 12 -
C. Eversley * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 3 7 10 -
D. Royer * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 2 0 1 5 13 -
B. Bennett * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 6 7 -
D. U'u * 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 4 9 -
K. Odister 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 14 14 -
R. Morgan 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 1 1 1 0 9 20 -
C. O'Brien 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 1 1 3 7 -
Z. Gordon 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 0 4 10 -

UC Riverside Highlanders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Smith * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 0 4 9 13 -
C. Patton * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 0 1 2 12 19 -
C. Harriel * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 0 1 14 17 -
A. Quick * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 4 -
J. Fox * 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 6 8 -
T. Johns 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 1 1 5 12 -
D. Boddie 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 1 2 0 4 -
L. Devenny 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -
S. Jones 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter