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2012-12-29

Model Predictions

Model Northwestern State Demons Arkansas Razorbacks Spread Result
Elo 35.5% 64.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 46.7% 53.3% - โœ“
Margin 15.3% 84.7% +9.4 โœ“ (8.6 off)
Pythagorean 45.4% 54.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 9.9% 90.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 9.4% 90.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 31.7% 68.3% - โœ“

Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +18 (79-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northwestern State Demons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Shamir Davis * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 2 0 1 6 9 -
Patrick Robinson * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 2 2 3 -
O.J. Evans * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 4 9 -
Marvin Frazier * 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 4 -
Gary Stewart * 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -
Jalan West 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 5 4 0 2 10 20 -
James Hulbin 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 0 1 1 2 16 26 -
Gary Roberson 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 2 5 9 -
Brison White 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 6 12 -
DeQuan Hicks 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 2 2 10 15 -

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mardracus Wade * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 6 4 0 2 17 28 -
B.J. Young * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 13 7 2 0 4 26 44 -
Hunter Mickelson * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 13 0 2 4 4 8 23 -
Rickey Scott * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 1 0 5 9 -
Marshawn Powell * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 0 9 15 -
Michael Qualls 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 4 10 -
Jacorey Williams 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 4 7 -
Kikko Haydar 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 3 5 -
Fred Gulley 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Coty Clarke 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 1 2 3 9 -
Rashad Madden 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Anthlon Bell 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
DeQuavious Wagner 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter