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2012-12-28

Model Predictions

Model Yale Bulldogs Nevada Wolf Pack Spread Result
Elo 46.4% 53.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 46.4% 53.6% - โœ“
Margin 23.0% 77.0% +6.6 โœ“ (3.4 off)
Pythagorean 58.7% 41.3% - โœ—
Efficiency 79.9% 20.1% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 20.0% 80.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 20.9% 79.1% - โœ“

Actual: Nevada Wolf Pack +10 (85-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Yale Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Austin Morgan * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 2 20 22 -
Michael Grace * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 4 0 0 3 17 21 -
Jeremiah Kreisberg * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 7 9 -
Armani Cotton * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 0 2 4 9 -
Brandon Sherrod * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 1 0 9 15 -
Justin Sears 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 2 0 0 0 5 15 -
Nick Victor 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
Matt Townsend 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 3 6 -
Sam Martin 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 2 -
Javier Duren 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 3 4 -
Greg Kelley 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 -

Nevada Wolf Pack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Story * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 4 4 0 1 35 46 -
K. Panzer * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 7 12 -
J. Burris * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 2 0 0 12 22 -
D. Burton * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 1 1 6 8 -
C. Huff * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 4 5 -
J. Evans, Jr. 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 1 1 7 13 -
D. Elliott 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 2 5 -
K. Fuetsch 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 4 1 0 1 3 8 -
P. Nyeko 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 3 -
M. Coleman 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 7 8 -

* = starter