Model Predictions
| Model | Albany Great Danes | Navy Midshipmen | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 84.1% | 15.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 83.3% | 16.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 78.6% | 21.4% | -7.2 | ✓ (2.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 73.5% | 26.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 90.3% | 9.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 90.4% | 9.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 65.4% | 34.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Navy Midshipmen -10 (61-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Albany Great Danes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Iati * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 28 | - |
| Mike Black * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | - |
| Blake Metcalf * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Jayson Guerrier * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| John Puk * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Luke Devlin | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 21 | - |
| Sam Rowley | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Peter Hooley | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Chris Page | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Gary Johnson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Dave Wiegmann | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Navy Midshipmen
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Dunbar * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 27 | - |
| B. Venturini * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 18 | - |
| W. Smith * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 16 | - |
| T. Wynn * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| J. Loupos * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| K. Knorr | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | - |
| W. Kelly | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Alexander | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| B. Wyatt | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Smoot | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Alter | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
* = starter