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2012-12-28

Model Predictions

Model Baylor Bears Gonzaga Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 27.2% 72.8% -
Bradley-Terry 41.8% 58.2% -
Margin 19.4% 80.6% +7.8 (0.8 off)
Pythagorean 37.9% 62.1% -
Efficiency 2.8% 97.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 23.9% 76.1% -
Log Adjusted 24.2% 75.8% -

Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +7 (94-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Jackson * 38 9-19 4-10 4-4 2 6 0 0 7 26 8 -
A.J. Walton * 32 3-7 1-1 0-0 2 6 0 0 2 7 6 -
I. Austin * 30 8-13 2-5 2-2 8 2 1 1 3 20 16 -
B. Heslip * 28 3-9 1-5 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 7 1 -
C. Jefferson * 27 6-7 0-0 1-1 7 0 0 2 0 13 15 -
G. Franklin 20 2-4 2-3 2-2 1 1 0 0 0 8 6 -
R. Gathers 15 1-2 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 1 2 5 -
T. Prince 7 1-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
L.J. Rose 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
D. Bello 1 0-2 0-0 0-2 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 -

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Pangos * 37 10-13 7-10 4-6 0 3 1 0 1 31 21 -
G. Bell Jr. * 34 4-11 1-4 3-4 2 5 3 0 0 12 11 -
E. Harris * 28 4-13 0-2 9-12 7 1 0 2 2 17 12 -
K. Olynyk * 23 9-12 1-1 2-3 4 2 0 0 3 21 12 -
M. Hart * 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 3 0 0 0 8 -
S. Dower 21 2-4 0-0 3-4 5 0 2 0 1 7 9 -
G. Edi 15 1-2 0-0 0-3 5 1 2 0 2 2 6 -
K. Dranginis 14 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 2 4 -
P. Karnowski 8 0-2 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
D. Stockton 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

* = starter