Model Predictions
| Model | Bowling Green Falcons | North Dakota Fighting Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 54.3% | 45.7% | -1.0 | ✗ (4.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.3% | 28.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.7% | 28.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: North Dakota Fighting Hawks +3 (56-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Bowling Green Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordon Crawford * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Chauncey Orr * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Luke Kraus * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Cameron Black * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - |
| A'uston Calhoun | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 21 | - |
| Anthony Henderson | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Richaun Holmes | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 10 | 20 | - |
| James Erger | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Craig Sealey | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Jehvon Clarke | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Spencer Parker | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
North Dakota Fighting Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Webb * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 21 | - |
| M. Wilmer * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 14 | - |
| D. Archer * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| A. Anderson * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 12 | - |
| J. Schuler * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| T. Huff | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 21 | - |
| J. Allard | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10 | - |
| L. Antwi | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| S. Benton | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Brekke | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
* = starter