Model Predictions
| Model | IUPUI Jaguars | Ball State Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.3% | 89.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.2% | 83.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 11.8% | 88.2% | +11.1 | ✗ (20.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 20.3% | 79.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.3% | 88.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.2% | 88.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Ball State Cardinals -9 (68-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
IUPUI Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Esposito * | 37 | 6-10 | 6-9 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 16 | - |
| John Hart * | 36 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Lyonell Gaines * | 34 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Greg Rice * | 28 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Donovan Gibbs * | 27 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Jordan Shanklin | 24 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Nick Kitcoff | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Marcellus Barksdale | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| P.J. Hubert | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Majok Majok * | 31 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Jesse Berry * | 30 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 7-8 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Jauwan Scaife * | 29 | 8-14 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 9 | - |
| Chris Bond * | 23 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Zach Fields * | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Tyler Koch | 23 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Marcus Posley | 22 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Michael Ramey | 14 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Bo Calhoun | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Chase Brogna | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter