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2012-12-23

Model Predictions

Model Brown Bears Northwestern Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 34.1% 65.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 31.8% 68.2% - โœ“
Margin 10.3% 89.7% +11.9 โœ“ (9.1 off)
Pythagorean 46.2% 53.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 4.8% 95.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 4.6% 95.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 27.4% 72.6% - โœ“

Actual: Northwestern Wildcats +21 (63-42). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Brown Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sean McGonagill * 33 7-13 3-5 3-5 5 2 1 1 3 20 13 -
Matt Sullivan * 33 1-7 0-3 0-2 1 1 1 0 0 2 -2 -
Tucker Halpern * 32 1-7 1-5 0-0 3 3 2 1 2 3 3 -
Rafael Maia * 30 3-9 0-1 3-5 7 1 1 2 3 9 8 -
Cedric Kuakumensah * 28 2-9 0-0 0-2 7 1 2 0 2 4 3 -
Tyler Ponticelli 19 1-1 0-0 2-2 0 2 0 0 2 4 3 -
Joe Sharkey 19 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Jon Schmidt 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 -

Northwestern Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dave Sobolewski * 33 5-9 3-5 1-1 2 8 1 0 2 14 14 -
Jared Swopshire * 31 3-5 2-3 0-0 4 4 2 1 2 8 12 -
Alex Marcotullio * 28 3-6 3-6 0-0 5 4 0 0 1 9 11 -
Kale Abrahamson * 26 3-8 2-5 1-2 5 2 1 0 1 9 8 -
Alex Olah * 20 3-7 2-2 0-0 2 1 0 2 0 8 6 -
Tre Demps 23 3-5 1-1 2-2 3 0 0 0 2 9 5 -
Mike Turner 14 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 3 0 4 7 -
Sanjay Lumpkin 13 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 0 0 -
Chier Ajou 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
J. Montgomery III 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -
Omar Jimenez 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter