Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana State Sycamores | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.3% | 78.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.1% | 86.9% | +10.4 | ✓ (3.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.4% | 88.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.3% | 88.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +7 (62-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Odum * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Justin Gant * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Manny Arop * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 17 | - |
| R.J. Mahurin * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Dawon Cummings * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Khristian Smith | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Devonte Brown | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jake Kitchell | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Lucas Eitel | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Brandon Burnett | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Franklin * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 35 | - |
| C. Tapley * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 17 | - |
| X. Thames * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 15 | - |
| J.J. O'Brien * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| D. Stephens * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| S. Spencer | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| J. Rahon | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| W. Shepard | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Johnson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Polee II | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter