Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | San Francisco Dons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.4% | 16.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 95.0% | 5.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 57.8% | 42.2% | -1.7 | ✓ (20.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.1% | 35.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 80.3% | 19.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 93.5% | 6.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 93.7% | 6.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Francisco Dons -22 (58-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Tapley * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 33 | 40 | - |
| J. Franklin * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 22 | - |
| X. Thames * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 16 | - |
| D. Stephens * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 15 | - |
| J.J. O'Brien * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| J. Rahon | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| W. Shepard | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| D. Polee II | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| S. Spencer | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Johnson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
San Francisco Dons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Derksen * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| C. Doolin * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 20 | - |
| C. Dickerson * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 26 | - |
| D. Parker * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| T. Xu * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| A. Holmes | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| M. Tollefsen | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| G. Hoffmann | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Adams | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| F. Rogers | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter