Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Pilots | Colorado State Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.4% | 93.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 7.8% | 92.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.9% | 98.1% | +21.8 | ✓ (4.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 14.1% | 85.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 13.1% | 86.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Colorado State Rams +17 (70-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Pilots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Nicholas * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 19 | - |
| K. Thieleke * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | - |
| D. Carr * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| T. van der Mars * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| K. Bailey * | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Riley | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| R. Barker | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 21 | - |
| O. Reinfelds | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | - |
| D. Rodgers | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| B. Pressley | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Bailey | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pierce Hornung * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 36 | - |
| Wes Eikmeier * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 20 | - |
| Colton Iverson * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Dorian Green * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Greg Smith * | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Daniel Bejarano | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 22 | - |
| Jon Octeus | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Gerson Santo | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
* = starter