Model Predictions
| Model | Murray State Racers | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.2% | 75.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.0% | 86.0% | +10.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.7% | 85.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.3% | 85.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers +9 (77-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Canaan * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 22 | - |
| Edward Daniel * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 27 | - |
| Stacy Wilson * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 16 | - |
| Dexter Fields * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Brandon Garrett * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Jeffery Moss | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Erik McCree | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Zay Henderson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C.J. Ford | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Dillard * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 26 | - |
| Devin Oliver * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | - |
| Vee Sanford * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 34 | - |
| Josh Benson * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Dyshawn Pierre * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jalen Robinson | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 15 | - |
| Matt Derenbecker | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Khari Price | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Alex Gavrilovic | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Devon Scott | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter