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2012-12-22

Model Predictions

Model Presbyterian Blue Hose Appalachian State Mountaineers Spread Result
Elo 17.7% 82.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 22.2% 77.8% - โœ“
Margin 11.2% 88.8% +11.4 โœ“ (3.4 off)
Pythagorean 16.0% 84.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 8.2% 91.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 8.2% 91.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 26.9% 73.1% - โœ“

Actual: Appalachian State Mountaineers +8 (78-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Presbyterian Blue Hose

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jordan Downing * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 21 24 -
Eric Washington * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 6 1 0 5 7 10 -
Ryan McTavish * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 3 9 12 -
Khalid Mutakabbir * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 1 0 3 11 14 -
William Truss * 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 4 7 -
Joshua Clyburn 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 3 8 11 -
Ryan Hargrave 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 8 9 -
Austin Anderson 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 4 -
Mac Lake 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Appalachian State Mountaineers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nathan Healy * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 1 1 1 1 16 26 -
Tab Hamilton * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 7 11 -
Jay Canty * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 2 1 1 8 17 -
Michael Neal * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 2 0 6 10 10 -
Michael Obacha * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 0 5 -
Tevin Baskin 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 1 2 1 0 16 28 -
Jamaal Trice 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 12 14 -
Chris Burgess 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 9 11 -

* = starter