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2012-12-22

Model Predictions

Model SMU Mustangs Alcorn State Braves Spread Result
Elo 87.8% 12.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 70.4% 29.6% - โœ“
Margin 84.4% 15.6% -9.3 โœ“ (5.7 off)
Pythagorean 69.3% 30.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 92.7% 7.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 92.8% 7.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 68.4% 31.6% - โœ“

Actual: Alcorn State Braves -15 (52-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

SMU Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Shawn Williams * 40 5-9 2-4 0-0 5 0 1 0 1 12 8 -
Jalen Jones * 38 6-11 0-0 7-8 9 1 4 0 6 19 16 -
Ryan Manuel * 36 0-2 0-0 8-8 3 6 0 0 1 8 14 -
Cannen Cunningham * 29 4-8 0-0 0-0 10 1 1 1 2 8 11 -
Nick Russell * 24 6-9 1-3 1-1 2 4 1 1 5 14 8 -
London Giles 13 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 5 0 -4 -
Uche Ofoegbu 12 1-1 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 4 6 -
Brian Bernardi 8 0-1 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -

Alcorn State Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marquis Baker * 36 7-20 4-15 6-6 4 0 3 1 5 24 7 -
Ian Francis * 35 3-6 0-0 2-7 5 1 6 0 3 8 11 -
LeAntwan Luckett * 32 1-5 0-2 3-6 3 1 1 1 2 5 4 -
Anthony Nieves * 24 3-5 2-4 0-0 5 0 0 0 4 8 4 -
Michael Starks * 18 0-0 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 1 0 2 7 -
Anthony Evans 29 2-10 1-9 0-0 0 4 2 0 2 5 -1 -
Josh Nicholas 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Stephane Raquil 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Terrance Birdie 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
Tyrel Hunt 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Jamaal Hester 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Marius Myles 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter