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2012-12-22

Model Predictions

Model UMBC Retrievers DePaul Blue Demons Spread Result
Elo 14.6% 85.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 25.3% 74.7% - โœ“
Margin 6.7% 93.3% +14.5 โœ“ (6.5 off)
Pythagorean 31.2% 68.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.9% 98.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.7% 98.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 23.0% 77.0% - โœ“

Actual: DePaul Blue Demons +8 (69-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UMBC Retrievers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Aaron Morgan * 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 3 0 5 15 21 -
Brian Neller * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 2 0 3 12 16 -
Ryan Cook * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 3 1 4 13 21 -
Chase Plummer * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 5 3 0 3 9 21 -
Brett Roseboro * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 1 2 6 10 -
Adrian Satchell 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 2 1 2 4 9 -
Malik Garner 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 0 3 -
Jordan Wejnert 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -

DePaul Blue Demons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Young * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 5 3 0 2 9 16 -
Cleveland Melvin * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 2 1 6 24 29 -
Donnavan Kirk * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 1 5 10 -
Jamee Crockett * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 0 1 11 17 -
Durrell McDonald * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 3 7 -
Worrel Clahar 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 5 4 0 2 10 20 -
Moses Morgan 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 2 2 3 6 -
Derrell Robertson 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 1 2 7 -
Charles McKinney 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 2 2 -

* = starter