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2012-12-22

Model Predictions

Model Missouri Tigers Illinois Fighting Illini Spread Result
Elo 46.8% 53.2% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 42.1% 57.9% - โœ—
Margin 48.1% 51.9% +0.4 โœ— (9.4 off)
Pythagorean 53.5% 46.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 56.4% 43.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 56.3% 43.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 49.9% 50.1% - โœ—

Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini -9 (73-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Missouri Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Phil Pressey * 39 3-19 0-4 6-6 7 11 1 0 4 12 8 -
Jabari Brown * 35 5-10 3-7 5-6 7 0 0 0 3 18 12 -
Laurence Bowers * 30 10-20 1-3 2-3 10 4 0 1 1 23 17 -
Alex Oriakhi * 28 5-10 0-0 3-3 14 0 0 1 0 13 18 -
Keion Bell * 11 0-0 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 1 3 -
Earnest Ross 29 3-8 1-4 1-2 6 1 0 0 2 8 5 -
T. Criswell 22 3-5 0-0 1-2 5 0 1 0 1 7 7 -
Negus Webster-Chan 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D.J. Richardson * 36 3-13 1-9 0-0 2 3 1 0 1 7 -1 -
N. Egwu * 35 5-11 0-0 2-3 9 0 1 1 0 12 12 -
B. Paul * 35 5-18 2-8 11-14 8 5 1 2 3 23 18 -
T. Griffey * 25 5-8 4-7 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 14 10 -
T. Abrams * 19 2-9 0-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 4 -2 -
J. Bertrand 30 5-11 1-4 2-2 3 0 2 0 1 13 6 -
S. McLaurin 14 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
M. Henry 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
D. Langford 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter