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2012-12-22

Model Predictions

Model Southeast Missouri State Redhawks Kansas City Roos Spread Result
Elo 78.3% 21.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 61.8% 38.2% - โœ“
Margin 69.0% 31.0% -4.4 โœ“ (3.4 off)
Pythagorean 77.9% 22.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 82.8% 17.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 83.1% 16.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 60.1% 39.9% - โœ“

Actual: Kansas City Roos -1 (65-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Southeast Missouri State Redhawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyler Stone * 38 10-17 0-1 8-8 9 0 0 2 1 28 21 -
Lucas Nutt * 35 3-5 1-2 2-3 2 5 2 0 1 9 12 -
Corey Wilford * 30 6-12 1-5 2-2 6 6 1 0 2 15 14 -
Marland Smith * 27 2-7 1-2 1-2 1 2 0 0 1 6 1 -
Nino Johnson * 26 1-3 0-0 2-6 7 0 0 3 1 4 10 -
N. Niemczyk 16 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
A.J. Jones 12 2-5 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 4 -1 -
Jacob Tolbert 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 0 5 -
Jared White 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Kansas City Roos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Estan Tyler * 38 2-11 1-5 3-3 2 9 1 0 1 8 8 -
Fred Chatmon * 32 4-10 0-0 3-3 13 0 0 1 0 11 15 -
Nelson Kirksey * 19 3-7 0-1 0-1 3 1 0 0 0 6 3 -
Alton Tanner * 11 0-3 0-2 2-2 2 0 1 0 1 2 1 -
John Burke * 8 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
Nate Rogers 31 5-10 3-6 1-2 1 2 0 0 2 14 5 -
Kirk Korver 25 2-7 2-6 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 6 3 -
Thomas Staton 25 4-9 3-5 2-2 5 1 0 0 1 13 9 -
Mason Wedel 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
Caleb Johnson 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -
Brad Reid 3 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter