Model Predictions
| Model | East Carolina Pirates | UMass Minutemen | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.7% | 76.3% | +6.4 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UMass Minutemen +7 (88-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
East Carolina Pirates
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Sampson * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 23 | - |
| Maurice Kemp * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 31 | - |
| Miguel Paul * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Paris Roberts-Campbell * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Ty Armstrong * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Corvonn Gaines | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Akeem Richmond | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Shamarr Bowden | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Marshall Guilmette | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Michael Zangari | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
UMass Minutemen
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Williams * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 39 | - |
| J. Morgan * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 22 | - |
| T. Vinson * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 19 | - |
| S. Carter * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - |
| R. Putney * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | - |
| F. Riley | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 19 | - |
| M. Esho | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| C. Lalanne | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 14 | - |
* = starter