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Fresno State Bulldogs 78
@
UCLA Bruins 91
2012-12-22

Model Predictions

Model Fresno State Bulldogs UCLA Bruins Spread Result
Elo 25.6% 74.4% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 16.4% 83.6% - ✓
Margin 12.6% 87.4% +10.7 ✓ (2.3 off)
Pythagorean 30.5% 69.5% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 9.6% 90.4% - ✓
Log Adjusted 9.4% 90.6% - ✓
Points Off/Def 28.2% 71.8% - ✓

Actual: UCLA Bruins +13 (91-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Fresno State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Aaron Anderson * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 0 2 7 13 -
Tyler Johnson * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 5 2 0 3 16 21 -
Jerry Brown * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 8 8 -
Robert Upshaw * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 2 5 -
Kevin Olekaibe * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 10 12 -
Marvelle Harris 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 2 0 1 19 20 -
Kevin Foster 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 0 1 9 16 -
Tanner Giddings 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 3 6 -
Allen Huddleston 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 4 6 -

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Drew II * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 10 0 0 1 4 16 -
Jordan Adams * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 5 5 0 0 25 42 -
Kyle Anderson * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 17 7 3 2 3 20 46 -
Shabazz Muhammad * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 1 27 33 -
Travis Wear * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 2 1 6 11 -
David Wear 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
Norman Powell 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 5 4 -
Tony Parker 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -

* = starter