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2012-12-21

Model Predictions

Model Northeastern Huskies Central Connecticut Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 59.6% 40.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 57.6% 42.4% - โœ“
Margin 61.1% 38.9% -2.5 โœ“ (16.5 off)
Pythagorean 56.9% 43.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 75.6% 24.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 75.8% 24.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 55.0% 45.0% - โœ“

Actual: Central Connecticut Blue Devils -19 (63-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northeastern Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Joel Smith * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 3 2 0 1 27 38 -
Jonathan Lee * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 12 7 2 0 5 15 31 -
David Walker * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 0 3 -
Reggie Spencer * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 4 1 0 2 15 28 -
Quincy Ford * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 2 3 11 18 -
Zach Stahl 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 1 2 10 15 -
Demetrius Pollard 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
Chris Avenant 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Marco Banegas-Flores 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
Dinko Marshavelski 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Derrico Peck 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Central Connecticut Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Vinales * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 2 0 5 10 11 -
Malcolm McMillan * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 2 0 3 5 8 -
Matt Hunter * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 6 3 1 3 22 35 -
Adonis Burbage * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 8 12 -
Joe Efese * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 2 1 3 5 -
Brandon Peel 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 2 6 -
Terrell Allen 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 4 7 -
Greg Andrade 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 3 5 -
Andrew Hurd 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 3 4 -
Erik Raleigh 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 4 -

* = starter