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Northern Colorado Bears 75
@
North Dakota Fighting Hawks 66
2012-12-21

Model Predictions

Model Northern Colorado Bears North Dakota Fighting Hawks Spread Result
Elo 49.1% 50.9% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 36.5% 63.5% - ✗
Margin 40.7% 59.3% +2.1 ✗ (11.1 off)
Pythagorean 49.0% 51.0% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 50.3% 49.7% - ✓
Log Adjusted 50.3% 49.7% - ✓
Points Off/Def 45.5% 54.5% - ✗

Actual: North Dakota Fighting Hawks -9 (66-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Colorado Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Derrick Barden * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 0 0 0 3 20 26 -
Tevin Svihovec * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 3 2 0 5 19 25 -
Tate Unruh * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 4 0 0 1 13 26 -
Tim Huskisson * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 3 0 1 2 2 12 -
Connor Osborne * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 1 2 6 -
Paul Garnica 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 2 14 17 -
Emmanuel Addo 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 3 4 -
Greg Tucker 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 2 2 -

North Dakota Fighting Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Webb * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 3 3 0 3 7 16 -
J. Schuler * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 8 13 -
A. Anderson * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 18 21 -
M. Wilmer * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 3 0 0 15 23 -
D. Archer * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 0 1 -
J. Allard 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 3 1 2 3 2 11 -
T. Huff 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 14 16 -
L. Antwi 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 2 3 -
S. Benton 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter