Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | Southern Illinois Salukis | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 20.8% | 79.2% | +7.4 | ✗ (15.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Southern Illinois Salukis -8 (70-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Hawkins | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 30 | - |
| Ryan Sypkens | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 20 | - |
| J.T. Adenrele | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 30 | - |
| Paolo Mancasola | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Ryan Howley | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 21 | - |
| Tyler Les | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Josh Ritchart | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Darius Graham | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Clint Bozner | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
Southern Illinois Salukis
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desmar Jackson | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 28 | - |
| Kendal Brown-Surles | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 14 | - |
| Anthony Beane | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Jeff Early | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 15 | - |
| T. Daniels | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 30 | - |
| T.J. Lindsay | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Josh Swan | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Davante Drinkard | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jalen Pendleton | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Colby Long | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. Bryer | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter