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2012-12-20

Model Predictions

Model UC Davis Aggies Southern Illinois Salukis Spread Result
Elo 58.5% 41.5% -
Bradley-Terry 46.0% 54.0% -
Margin 20.8% 79.2% +7.4 (15.4 off)
Pythagorean 56.2% 43.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 34.1% 65.9% -
Log Adjusted 32.1% 67.9% -

Actual: Southern Illinois Salukis -8 (70-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UC Davis Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Hawkins 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 6 0 0 2 20 30 -
R. Sypkens 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 15 20 -
J.T. Adenrele 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 1 1 1 2 18 30 -
P. Mancasola 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 3 9 10 -
R. Howley 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 15 2 1 1 4 6 21 -
T. Les 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 3 4 -
J. Ritchart 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 5 8 -
D. Graham 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 0 2 -
C. Bozner 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 2 -

Southern Illinois Salukis

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Jackson 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 3 2 1 18 28 -
K. Brown-Surles 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 5 2 1 1 5 14 -
A. Beane 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 2 0 0 9 16 -
J. Early 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 2 0 2 11 15 -
T. Daniels 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 0 0 23 30 -
T.J. Lindsay 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 2 5 -
J. Swan 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 0 3 -
D. Drinkard 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Pendleton 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 2 5 -
C. Long 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
A. Bryer 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter