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2012-12-20

Model Predictions

Model Boise State Broncos Idaho Vandals Spread Result
Elo 78.8% 21.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 78.1% 21.9% - โœ“
Margin 81.7% 18.3% -8.2 โœ“ (1.8 off)
Pythagorean 59.9% 40.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 88.7% 11.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 88.8% 11.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 66.3% 33.7% - โœ“

Actual: Idaho Vandals -10 (68-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boise State Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jeff Elorriaga * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 2 0 0 8 13 -
Derrick Marks * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 2 0 3 25 30 -
Igor Hadziomerovic * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 4 1 0 1 10 17 -
Ryan Watkins * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 2 0 1 17 25 -
Anthony Drmic * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 5 8 -
Mikey Thompson 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 11 14 -
Kenny Buckner 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 0 5 -
Thomas Bropleh 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 1 -

Idaho Vandals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Barone * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 2 1 3 2 24 38 -
S. Madison * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 0 0 3 12 17 -
C. Hill * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 2 2 5 -
R. Harris Jr. * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 4 5 3 -
M. Habeeb * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 6 5 -
M. McChristian 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 0 1 14 21 -
D. Douglas 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 3 0 0 2 5 6 -
M. Bell 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
M. Borton 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter