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2012-12-20

Model Predictions

Model Robert Morris Colonials Arkansas Razorbacks Spread Result
Elo 35.7% 64.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 42.5% 57.5% - โœ“
Margin 14.0% 86.0% +10.0 โœ“ (5.0 off)
Pythagorean 47.2% 52.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 11.2% 88.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 10.8% 89.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 30.7% 69.3% - โœ“

Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +5 (79-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Robert Morris Colonials

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Karvel Anderson * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 2 0 0 17 23 -
Mike McFadden * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 4 0 0 10 17 -
Coron Williams * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 17 21 -
Lucky Jones * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 2 1 0 3 7 15 -
Velton Jones * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 4 0 0 4 3 3 -
A. Myers-Pate 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 1 0 2 6 9 -
Russell Johnson 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 0 4 10 15 -
David Appolon 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 4 2 -
Vaughn Morgan 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
Stephan Hawkins 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B.J. Young * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 5 2 0 6 23 29 -
Marshawn Powell * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 2 0 1 2 12 22 -
Mardracus Wade * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 14 16 -
Hunter Mickelson * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 2 0 16 25 -
Rashad Madden * 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 0 0 -
Kikko Haydar 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 5 9 -
Fred Gulley 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 2 0 0 6 -
Coty Clarke 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 1 6 -
Rickey Scott 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 1 0 0 3 12 -
Jacorey Williams 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 5 8 -
Michael Qualls 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 -
Anthlon Bell 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
DeQuavious Wagner 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 0 1 -

* = starter