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2012-12-19

Model Predictions

Model Montana Grizzlies Northern Arizona Lumberjacks Spread Result
Elo 77.1% 22.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 66.6% 33.4% - โœ“
Margin 71.5% 28.5% -5.1 โœ“ (0.9 off)
Pythagorean 84.6% 15.4% - โœ“
Efficiency 96.8% 3.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 91.7% 8.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 91.5% 8.5% - โœ“

Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks -6 (56-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Montana Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Will Cherry * 35 3-9 2-4 4-4 3 3 2 1 3 12 9 -
Kareem Jamar * 34 4-9 1-3 1-2 9 3 2 0 5 10 10 -
Mathias Ward * 33 5-8 1-3 1-2 6 2 0 1 1 12 12 -
Jordan Gregory * 24 4-6 1-2 3-3 7 3 2 2 1 12 19 -
Michael Weisner 24 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Keron DeShields 18 5-12 2-5 0-0 4 0 2 0 0 12 6 -
Eric Hutchison 15 1-3 0-0 0-2 3 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Kevin Henderson 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
Spencer Coleman 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Andy Martin 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
Jacob Wiley 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gabe Rogers * 37 5-13 5-11 1-2 1 3 1 0 2 16 6 -
Stallon Saldivar * 37 2-7 0-2 0-0 8 5 1 0 3 4 8 -
Dewayne Russell * 28 3-14 1-4 5-7 0 4 1 0 5 12 -2 -
Max Jacobsen * 27 2-3 0-0 4-4 7 2 1 0 1 8 14 -
Gaellen Bewernick * 24 2-7 0-0 1-3 4 0 1 0 2 5 1 -
Michael Dunn 18 2-4 0-1 1-1 1 0 1 0 2 5 1 -
Jordyn Martin 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 0 4 -
Ephraim Ekanem 12 3-6 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 1 0 6 5 -

* = starter