Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Texas Longhorns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 56.7% | 43.3% | -1.5 | ✗ (19.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 93.2% | 6.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.0% | 27.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.2% | 26.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Texas Longhorns +18 (85-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. McAdoo * | 32 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 15 | - |
| R. Bullock Jr. * | 30 | 6-17 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 18 | - |
| D. Strickland * | 30 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| M. Paige * | 28 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | - |
| J. James * | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | -2 | - |
| P.J. Hairston | 22 | 2-12 | 1-7 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| J.P. Tokoto | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| L. McDonald | 18 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| D. Hubert | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Johnson | 6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
Texas Longhorns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Felix * | 37 | 3-12 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 6 | - |
| S. Mac * | 36 | 4-17 | 0-4 | 10-13 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 7 | - |
| J. Lewis * | 32 | 7-17 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 3 | - |
| J. Holmes * | 26 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 14 | - |
| C. Ridley * | 21 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| I. Papapetrou | 17 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 15 | - |
| C. Lammert | 15 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| D. Holland | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| P. Ibeh | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter