Model Predictions
| Model | Montana State Bobcats | Sacramento State Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.0% | 72.0% | +5.2 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento State Hornets +5 (62-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Egwuonwu * | 37 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| X. Blount * | 34 | 4-10 | 1-6 | 6-7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Antonio Biglow * | 29 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Jamie Stewart * | 21 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Michael Dison * | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Flavien Davis | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Christian Moon | 17 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Marcus Colbert | 15 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Calen Coleman | 7 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Eric Norman | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Blake Brumwell | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jeff Budinich | 2 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
Sacramento State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Eberhard * | 36 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 14 | - |
| Dylan Garrity * | 35 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Mikh McKinney * | 34 | 4-8 | 3-3 | 10-11 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 22 | - |
| John Dickson * | 29 | 3-11 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Konner Veteto * | 29 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Cody Demps | 17 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Julian Demalleville | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Joey Quigley | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jordan Salley | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter