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2012-12-18

Model Predictions

Model Liberty Flames Iona Gaels Spread Result
Elo 14.8% 85.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 14.6% 85.4% - โœ“
Margin 5.8% 94.2% +15.3 โœ“ (2.7 off)
Pythagorean 33.1% 66.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 3.7% 96.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 3.6% 96.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 21.3% 78.7% - โœ“

Actual: Iona Gaels +18 (87-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Liberty Flames

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Marshall * 32 2-9 2-7 3-4 1 5 0 0 2 9 4 -
J. Sanders * 31 5-9 2-4 4-10 5 3 1 0 4 16 12 -
T. Gielo * 25 2-8 0-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 4 0 -
J. Coronado * 25 5-10 0-0 1-2 14 0 0 2 2 11 15 -
C. Roberts * 21 3-4 1-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 7 5 -
T. Speaks 18 2-7 0-0 5-6 2 0 3 0 2 9 5 -
A. Smith 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
C. Donley 11 3-5 2-4 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 8 4 -
S. Ogukwe 11 1-2 0-0 2-4 5 0 0 1 0 4 8 -
K. Assinesi 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Vander Pol 6 0-1 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 1 2 -

Iona Gaels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sean Armand * 38 7-17 7-14 2-2 9 4 2 1 2 23 20 -
A.J. English * 28 5-9 5-8 2-2 7 3 1 0 0 17 19 -
L. Jones * 28 9-13 3-6 3-3 7 5 1 0 6 24 18 -
Shawn Jackson * 26 0-2 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 1 0 1 4 -
Tavon Sledge * 24 3-9 0-2 0-2 1 3 1 0 0 6 2 -
Tre Bowman 25 4-8 2-6 3-4 2 2 0 0 0 13 9 -
Curtis Dennis 11 0-4 0-4 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 0 0 -
N. Moikobu 8 1-3 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
Da'Shawn Gomez 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 3 0 0 0 0 3 -
Taaj Ridley 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 3 -
Da'Shawn Gomez 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 3 0 0 0 0 3 -
DeSean Anderson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter