Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | Santa Clara Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.5% | 93.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.4% | 83.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.6% | 93.4% | +14.5 | ✓ (6.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 96.3% | 3.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.9% | 75.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.8% | 77.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Santa Clara Broncos +8 (72-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Eversley * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 35 | - |
| J. Johnson * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 13 | - |
| B. Bennett * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 18 | - |
| D. U'u * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 11 | - |
| D. Royer * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| K. Odister | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Z. Gordon | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Morgan | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Silvestri | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Santa Clara Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Foster * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 18 | - |
| E. Roquemore * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 23 | - |
| M. Trasolini * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 34 | - |
| R. Cowels III * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 15 | - |
| R. Garrett * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| B. Clark | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 16 | - |
| Y. Atanga | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| J. McArthur | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| D. Johnson | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter